More Normal? Summer Rally? Stock Market Forecast Analysis

For investors frequently following financial news on CNBC, Fox News, or Bloomberg, the prospect of the S&P 500 approaching all-time highs again might seem implausible, especially after widespread recession predictions for early 2024 that never materialized. Despite the market’s substantial rise, many commentators who have consistently forecasted downturns remain pessimistic, often reframing their incorrect predictions as being "early" rather than "wrong." In this video, we'll explore historical stock market patterns, particularly how markets often stall before breaking out to new highs, and what this might mean for the coming months. We'll examine the predictive work of analysts like Larry Williams, compare current trends to notable years like 1995 and 2000, and discuss the potential for a summer rally.

 

#economicdata #sp500forecast #summerrally

 

About Chris Perras, CFA®, CLU®, ChFC®, Chief Investment Officer:

As CIO, Chris is the lead investment strategist and director of research at Oak Harvest Financial Group. Chris develops the firm's core market outlook, putting his decades of experience and expertise to work for our clients. He hosts Oak Harvest's podcast, "Stock Talk," available on the website with new episodes each week. He completed his undergraduate studies at Georgia Tech, and went on to obtain an MBA from the Harvard Business School. Driven by a desire to maximize his knowledge and skill set, he acquired financial planning and investment management qualifications, becoming a Chartered Life Underwriter (CLU®), a Chartered Financial Consultant (ChFC®), and a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA®).

 

Stock Talk is a weekly vlog/podcast dedicated to discussing the Oak Harvest Financial Group Investment Team's perspective on what's happening in the market. Hosted by Chief Investment Officer Chris Perras, each episode brings you our views on stocks, the market, and the economy — with a little education thrown in for good measure. Listen each week and help stay connected to your money!

 

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Important disclosures: Content of Oak Harvest podcasts expresses the views of the speaker and is for informational purposes only. Oak Harvest believes that any data, articles, or information cited are reliable at the time of creation, but does not warrant any information contained herein to be correct, complete, accurate, or timely. The views and opinions expressed herein may change without notice. Strategies and ideas discussed may not be right for you — and nothing in this podcast constitutes personalized investment, tax or legal advice, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell securities. Indexes such as the S&P 500 are not available for direct investment and your investment results may differ when compared to an index. Any specific portfolio actions or strategies discussed will not apply to all client portfolios. Investing involves the risk of loss, and past performance is not indicative of future results.