Are We Having a Seasonally Strong September? | Stock Talk Podcast

September is historically the worst stock return month of the year.  Case closed?  Not necessarily, according to more analysis by Stephen Suttmeier’s data team at Merrill Lynch. Click here to learn more.

Turn on the financial news, and you’re bound to have heard the stories for at least 2 weeks already.  The story that seasonally speaking, the month of September has been the worst month for stock returns historically speaking.  Going back to 1928, the S&P500 is up only 45% of the time with a negative average return of about -1.1%.  Midterm Presidential years, like we are in right now, show pretty much the same results, up less than 50% of the time with an average negative return of also -1.15% before getting into the historically seasonally stronger 4th quarter.  Third quarters tend to go out on a down note and are not very promising at first glance.  However, this short-term pain usually creates longer-term opportunities for investors.

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